Gulf Countries Can Pursue Own Relations with Both Iran and Israel

Gulf States Face Dilemma Between Stability and Conflict

The Middle East’s complex security landscape has led to a contentious debate about the Gulf states’ stance on Iran and Israel. The notion that these countries must choose between the two is seen as oversimplified, as it implies that regional stability can be achieved by aligning with one power against another.

In reality, Gulf states prioritize preventing conflict in their region, rather than taking sides in a struggle between Iran and Israel. Any escalation involving these actors has far-reaching consequences for the Gulf, including threats to airspace, shipping lanes, energy infrastructure, investment confidence, and domestic stability.

Recent events have demonstrated that even without initiating conflict, the Gulf is drawn into regional conflicts. For instance, an Israeli attack on Iran in June led to a significant escalation, while an air strike targeting Doha in September was part of the same campaign. This highlights the interconnected nature of regional security issues.

Gulf states have diverse foreign policies, with Qatar focusing on mediation and dialogue, while the UAE has taken a harder line against Iran. However, despite these differences, they share a common interest in regional stability and freedom of navigation.

The Strait of Hormuz, Bab al-Mandeb, and other maritime passages are critical to the Gulf’s economy and global trade. Any conflict in the region poses significant risks to these lifelines. The Gulf states’ policy must balance firmness with communication to address Iranian pressure while preventing a wider war that would harm their infrastructure, economy, and development.

In conclusion, the Gulf states’ approach to regional security is shaped by their unique interests and priorities. While they may share concerns with Israel regarding Iran, their goals do not align. The automatic alignment with Israel against Iran is strategically risky, as it reduces the Gulf’s autonomy and ignores the Palestinian question.

Source: Al Jazeera